#42695From:Michiel van der Vlist
To:Vincent Coen
Date:01-07-2020 16:28:17
Subj:Brexit
Hello Vincent,

On Wednesday July 01 2020 14:21, you wrote to me:

>> No request for en extension was submitted, so now the date is
>> final. The transition period ends at the end of this year. Deal or
>> no deal...

VC> Was not a surprise this side - BJ would have lost all cred if he had
VC> even thought of doing such a thing.

He already did it before when the 2019 exit deadline was extended to 31 jan 2020. So a last minute turn last week would not have really surprised me.

VC> It will hopefully, just get the two sides to get a move on working out
VC> any trade deals - but not holding my breath !

Given that any deal must be ratified by the European Parliament, there is effectively only four month left for negotiations. There must be a deal by the end of October.

Given that this circus has been on the move for four years now, and almost nothing has been achieved, I very much doubt there will be a deal. If I were a gambler - which I am not - I'd put my money on a no deal brexit.


Cheers, Michiel

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